Multifamily Investing
A cap rate is Net Operating Income divided by purchase price. A property with $30,000 in NOI listed at $400,000 is a 7.5% cap rate. The lower the cap rate, the more you're paying per dollar of income the property produces — and right now, a lot of Kansas City multifamily listings are priced for a world that no longer exists.
In 2021 and 2022, buyers accepted 4-5% cap rates because debt was cheap enough — around 3.5% — that the numbers still cash-flowed. Rates are now 6.5-7%+, and those same cap rates create negative leverage: you're paying more to borrow than the property returns. Sellers who bought or refinanced at those low rates haven't adjusted their asking prices as fast as buyer math has changed, which is exactly why so many KC multifamily listings are sitting unsold right now.
Submarket cap rate ranges I'm seeing on actual closings, not listings
How I evaluate a deal, step by step
Watch for the cap rate trap: listings that advertise a "stabilized" or pro forma cap rate based on projected post-improvement rents, not current actual income. The upside from those improvements should belong to you as the buyer — not get paid for upfront to the seller.
Bottom line: a lot of listings are priced to 2021 cap rates with 2025-and-later interest rates, which is exactly why deals aren't penciling out for a lot of buyers right now. The deals that do work are the ones priced right from the start, found off-market before they ever hit a public listing, or that have sat long enough that sellers are starting to adjust to reality.
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